Why American allies can expect no help in Libya

Trump has vowed to get out of the 'nation-building business' and 'focus on stability.' He has also vowed not only an alliance but a friendship with Egyptian President Sisi.

And Sisi is working with Russia towards a solution in Libya.

Trump waging a war on behalf of the Tripoli-based government - which has links to the Muslim Brotherhood and Al-Qaeda - to defend against Russian and Egyptian aggression just simply is not going to happen.

There is a great deal of fear-mongering from Europe regarding Libya. They see that the migrant crisis is increasing not only from Syria, but also - perhaps to an even greater extent - from Libya. Libya has become a hotbed for not only terrorism, but also for refugee trafficking. But they are even more terrified that Russia will end up with a more sizable Mediterranean presence through consolidating power in both Syria and Libya.

The 'Obama Doctrine,' criticized as 'leading from behind,' has been a process of moving other nation actors into America's place, to make sure that America doesn't have to bear as much of the cost. This doctrine will perhaps be most well-known with Obama refusing to intervene to overthrow the Syrian government. The Obama doctrine, in this moment, saved the Middle-East.

In 2011 however, it was Obama's hope that Europe would step into Libya and help solve the crisis. But they didn't, and the opportunity has now passed to Russia, the only superpower willing to get involved in Libya.

So for Europe to cry wolf and want Trump to intervene in Libya against Russia and Egypt is outrageous. He will not do it - it is counter to American regional interest.

Russia has flashed warning signals at America, eyeing influence in Iraq and Afghanistan. Unlike Iraq and Afghanistan, America has not intervened as extensively in Libya, so there is less shame in letting Russia solve the conflict. Trump is likely to use both Syria and Libya as piecemeal offerings to keep the Russian bear from eyeing influence in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Regarding Libya, the train has left. Europe missed their opportunity. Europe will not share in the spoils of Libya, because only Russia and Egypt are prepared to face the conflict with a clear vision. Europe knows if they went into Libya themselves, against Russia and Egypt, they would get economically drained without fixing the conflict, something they definitely do not wish for right now.

Russia of course benefits from Obama and Trump's lack of desire to intervene in Libya. This also, ironically, benefits Europe, because Russia will be spending their own finances and military strength on solving the refugee crises originating from Syria and Libya.

For Russia to end up with 2 sizable military bases in the Mediterranean - one in Syria and the other in Libya - will of course cause a lot of upset in Europe. But it will undoubtedly appease Russia - they will be seen for the superpower they really are.