Thursday, 19 January 2017
Which conflicts will Trump hand over to Russia?
In this article we will examine which conflicts Trump is most likely to hand over to Russia.
1) Syria
Syria is obviously first. Whether Trump defeats ISIS with the American military in Syria or merely hands the conflict over to Russia is unclear, but in either case, early withdrawal from Syria by Trump is likely to happen. Trump would cease funding for the rebels in exchange for Russia, Syria and Iran focusing on the ISIS threat first. Trump would make sure that the rebels holed up in Idlib would be driven out of Syria after ISIS is driven out of Deir Ez-Zor and Raqqa provinces by the Syrian Arab Army.
2) Libya
Haftar Al-Khalifa, who has his eyes on controlling the entirety of Libya, has been regularly meeting with the Russians to garner support from them for his Tobruk-based government. These talks have continued even with Trump being named President elect, which suggests that Libya, like Syria, is going to be handed over to Russia and, like Syria, will be stabilized by Russia.
Strong men are the antidote for terrorism, and no one understands this better than Putin and Trump. Haftar Al-Khalifa and Bashar Al-Assad controlling Libya and Syria respectably would stabilize those two countries without question.
The advantages of stability in Libya are obvious. Russia being peace-keeper for Syria and Libya would mean that Russia would remain a dominant world power while also helping both the EU and the wider world with the immigration crisis.
3) Yemen
This conflict is getting worse by the day, and nobody is paying attention to it. Famine is occurring in Yemen on a massive scale; Al-Qaeda is getting empowered; Saudi Arabia's own economy is weakening. If Trump cannot stop Saudi from waging war on Yemen, he would likely hand over this conflict to Russia as well rather than risk alienation of Saudi Arabia.
Russia would fight to ensure the Houthis control the entirety of Yemen, meaning that King Salman would suffer a huge blow in prestige, having been defeated in Syria and Yemen, and likely causing the Saudi population great resentment towards not only Russia, but the Saudi leadership itself.
These are the three most likely countries in the Middle-East which would be handed over by Trump to the Russians. It would cause much more stability in the Middle-East without costing America a dollar.
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